Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday


	Mark Lajal		Justin Engel

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	1.93	1.78
	1.94	1.75	Watch
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.89	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.63)	1.78 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
47.8%

Justin Engel
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mark Lajal's form might have worsened.

Justin Engel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Justin Engel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mark Lajal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justin Engel than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Justin Engel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mark Lajal - Justin Engel Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lajal will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Engel will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Engel: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Justin Engel will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 146. Engel is ranked ATP: 195.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Engel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Mark Lajal - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
17.11.25	Mark Lajal - Luka Mikrut	Canceled ✺
12.11.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Mark Lajal - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	Mark Lajal - Otto Virtanen	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 W?LW?
- Justin Engel
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Justin Engel - Hamish Stewart	Stewart H. retired ✺
04.11.25	Chris Rodesch - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Justin Engel - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Justin Engel - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Justin Engel - Mark Lajal	2:1

Mark Lajal - Justin Engel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide