Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hamburg, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Justin Engel

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.12	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.64	Watch
	2.35	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.12)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
41.3%

Justin Engel
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Justin Engel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justin Engel than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Alejandro Moro Canas - Justin Engel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 256. Engel is ranked ATP: 235.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Moro Canas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moro Canas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Mathys Erhard - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Jannik Opitz - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Luka Mikrut	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL
- Justin Engel
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Justin Engel - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Justin Engel - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Justin Engel - Sander Jong	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Martin Landaluce - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Mika Brunold - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Justin Engel - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1

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