Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Trier, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday


	Marlon Vankan		John Sperle

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
	1.76	1.94
	1.86	1.96
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.84	1.94
	1.81	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.07)	1.91 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marlon Vankan
51.3%

John Sperle
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marlon Vankan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marlon Vankan's performance.

John Sperle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and John Sperle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marlon Vankan than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marlon Vankan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that John Sperle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marlon Vankan - John Sperle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vankan is ranked ATP: 618. Sperle is ranked ATP: 821.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Sperle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marlon Vankan
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Marlon Vankan - Yannic Nittmann	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Stian Klaassen - Marlon Vankan	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Marlon Vankan - Erik Schiessl	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Marlon Vankan - Facundo Yunis	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Marlon Vankan - Claus Piening	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWW
- John Sperle
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	John Sperle - Linus Lagerbohm	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Andrey Chepelev - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	John Sperle - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Radu Mihai Papoe - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	John Sperle - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW

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