Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Saarlouis, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Marlon Vankan		Marcel Zielinski

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.65	2.1
	1.69	2.19
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.67	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.95)	2.09 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marlon Vankan
55.7%

Marcel Zielinski
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marlon Vankan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marlon Vankan's performance.

Marcel Zielinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcel Zielinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marlon Vankan than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marlon Vankan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcel Zielinski than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcel Zielinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Marlon Vankan - Marcel Zielinski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vankan is ranked ATP: 728. Zielinski is ranked ATP: 587.

In recent matches, Vankan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zielinski is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zielinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Zielinski will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vankan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marlon Vankan
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Johan Oscar Lien - Marlon Vankan	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Felix Einig - Marlon Vankan	0:2
17.06.26	Vincent Dullinger - Marlon Vankan	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Radu Mihai Papoe - Marlon Vankan	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Marlon Vankan - Mathys Domenc	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLL
- Marcel Zielinski
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Yannik Kelm - Marcel Zielinski	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Vincent Marysko - Marcel Zielinski	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Kaspar Mathes - Marcel Zielinski	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Gabriele Piraino - Marcel Zielinski	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Marcel Zielinski - Giacomo Crisostomo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.08.22	Marcel Zielinski - Marlon Vankan	1:2

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