Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Saarlouis, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday


	Yannik Kelm		Marcel Zielinski

	1	2
	1.60	2.15
	1.58	2.23
	1.66	2.25
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.65	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)	2.18 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannik Kelm
57.4%

Marcel Zielinski
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannik Kelm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Marcel Zielinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannik Kelm than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yannik Kelm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcel Zielinski than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcel Zielinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yannik Kelm - Marcel Zielinski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kelm is ranked ATP: 650. Zielinski is ranked ATP: 587.

Kelm has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zielinski is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zielinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Kelm will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannik Kelm
ITF Tournaments
18.06.26	Yannik Kelm - Jakub Filip	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Yannik Kelm - Piet Steveker	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Yannik Kelm - Attila Boros	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Oscar Jose Gutierrez - Yannik Kelm	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Peter Makk - Yannik Kelm	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW
- Marcel Zielinski
ITF Tournaments
18.06.26	Vincent Marysko - Marcel Zielinski	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Kaspar Mathes - Marcel Zielinski	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Gabriele Piraino - Marcel Zielinski	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Marcel Zielinski - Giacomo Crisostomo	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Marcel Zielinski - Jacopo Antonelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW

Yannik Kelm - Marcel Zielinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide