Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Jasmine Paolini		Robin Montgomery

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.26	1.61
	2.37	1.68
	2.19	1.65	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.21	1.69	Watch
	2.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.91)	1.63 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
41.8%

Robin Montgomery
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jasmine Paolini's form might have worsened.

Robin Montgomery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Robin Montgomery's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jasmine Paolini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robin Montgomery than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Robin Montgomery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	0%	31.8%

Jasmine Paolini - Robin Montgomery Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Montgomery will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paolini is ranked WTA: 14. Montgomery is ranked WTA: 194.

Paolini has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Montgomery is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Paolini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Montgomery will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Montgomery will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Eastbourne
23.06.26	Jasmine Paolini - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
27.05.26	Jasmine Paolini - Solana Sierra	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	Jasmine Paolini - Dayana Yastremska	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
09.05.26	Jasmine Paolini - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Jasmine Paolini - Leolia Jeanjean	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- Robin Montgomery
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Robin Montgomery	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Robin Montgomery - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Caroline Dolehide - Robin Montgomery	0:2 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
14.06.26	Robin Montgomery - Barbora Krejcikova	Montgomery R. Walkover ✺
13.06.26	Robin Montgomery - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWW?W

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