Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Caserta, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday


	Marta Lombardini		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
			Watch
	3.10	1.30
	3.15	1.30
	3.34	1.34
	3.12	1.31	Watch
	3.10	1.30
	3.09	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.7)	1.31 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marta Lombardini
29.4%

Federica Urgesi
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Lombardini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marta Lombardini than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marta Lombardini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federica Urgesi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marta Lombardini - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lombardini is ranked WTA: 881. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 356.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Urgesi is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Lombardini
ITF Tournaments
04.06.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Marta Lombardini	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Marta Lombardini - Federica Sacco	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Marta Lombardini - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
04.05.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Marta Lombardini	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Marta Lombardini - Natalija Senic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLLL
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
04.06.26	Gabriela Ce - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Federica Urgesi - Vivian Wolff	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Federica Urgesi - Viktorija Golubic	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Federica Urgesi - Maja Chwalinska	Chwalinska M. Retired ✺
WTA Roma
06.05.26	Viktorija Golubic - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWL?L

Marta Lombardini - Federica Urgesi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide