Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Martin Damm		Darwin Blanch

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.93	1.83
	2.04	1.84
	1.97	1.81	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	2.02	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.93)	1.83 ↓ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
48.2%

Darwin Blanch
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Darwin Blanch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Martin Damm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darwin Blanch than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darwin Blanch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Martin Damm - Darwin Blanch Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Damm will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Blanch will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blanch: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Damm (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Blanch (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 429. Blanch is ranked ATP: 409.

Damm is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Blanch has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Damm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Yuta Shimizu - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Martin Damm - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Martin Damm - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Martin Damm - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- Darwin Blanch
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Darwin Blanch - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Borna Coric - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Valentin Royer - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Darwin Blanch - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Darwin Blanch - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWL

Martin Damm - Darwin Blanch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide