Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Sweden	HBO Max


	Yuta Shimizu		Martin Damm

	1	2
	2.63	1.44
	2.6	1.47
	2.54	1.52
	2.67	1.46	Watch
	2.58	1.49	Watch
	2.38	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.44)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
36.7%

Martin Damm
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Yuta Shimizu - Martin Damm Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Damm (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Martin Damm will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Martin Damm will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Damm (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimizu is ranked ATP: 209. Damm is ranked ATP: 429.

Shimizu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Damm is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Damm might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Damm will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.07.25	Andres Martin - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Nicolas Mejia - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Yuta Shimizu - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWLWL
- Martin Damm
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Martin Damm - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Martin Damm - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Martin Damm - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Martin Damm - Jesse Flores	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW

Yuta Shimizu - Martin Damm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide