Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jinan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Martin Landaluce		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.47	2.4	Watch
	1.51	2.41	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)	2.38 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Landaluce
61.1%

Liam Draxl
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Landaluce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Landaluce than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Martin Landaluce - Liam Draxl Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Landaluce will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Draxl will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Draxl (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Landaluce is ranked ATP: 73., and Draxl is ranked ATP: 219..

In recent outings, Landaluce has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Draxl is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Draxl may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Landaluce is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Martin Landaluce - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.89%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Liam Draxl - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.11%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Landaluce
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Martin Landaluce - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
14.10.26	Martin Landaluce - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Martin Landaluce - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Martin Landaluce - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Martin Landaluce - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLL
- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Tomas Machac - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Ilya Ivashka - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
13.10.26	Liam Draxl - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Liam Draxl - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Liam Draxl - Yutong Du	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Landaluce
ATP Vienna
27.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Martin Landaluce	✺

Martin Landaluce - Liam Draxl: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide