Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TENERIFE 3 (SPAIN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 1 March 2024, Friday


	Martin Landaluce		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.45
	1.55	2.58
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.39	2.83	Watch
	1.49	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.84)	2.58 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Landaluce
63.6%

Lukas Neumayer
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Landaluce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martin Landaluce's performance.

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukas Neumayer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Landaluce than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martin Landaluce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Neumayer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Martin Landaluce - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Landaluce will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Neumayer will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Landaluce: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Landaluce is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neumayer is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Neumayer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Landaluce will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Landaluce
ATP Challenger
29.02.24	Martin Landaluce - Carlos Lopez Montagud	Lopez Montagud C. retired ✺
26.02.24	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Martin Landaluce	Llamas Ruiz P. retired ✺
21.02.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.02.24	Khumoun Sultanov - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Martin Landaluce - Pedro Araujo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ??LWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
29.02.24	Lukas Neumayer - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
27.02.24	Stefano Travaglia - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
20.02.24	Lukas Neumayer - Raul Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
19.02.24	Lukas Neumayer - Ilya Ivashka	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.02.24	Svyatoslav Gulin - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWL?W

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