Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Nuria Brancaccio

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.64	Watch
	3.02	1.35	Watch
	2.17	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.87)	1.59 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
40.8%

Nuria Brancaccio
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Lourdes Carle's form might have worsened.

Nuria Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuria Brancaccio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuria Brancaccio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Nuria Brancaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Brancaccio will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Brancaccio (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brancaccio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 129. Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 153.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Brancaccio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brancaccio could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Barbora Palicova	2:0 ✺
WTA Beijing
22.09.25	Cristina Bucsa - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Yufei Ren - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
WTA Seoul
13.09.25	Jessika Ponchet - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Jessica Pieri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL
- Nuria Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Carson Branstine	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Sara Bejlek	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Carson Branstine - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Barbora Palicova	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Oleksandra Oliynykova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.07.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1

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