Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday


	Marton Fucsovics		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.51	2.5
	1.52	2.68
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.59	Watch
	1.51	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.72)	2.54 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marton Fucsovics
62.7%

Sebastian Ofner
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marton Fucsovics's performance.

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Ofner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marton Fucsovics that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Ofner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Marton Fucsovics - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fucsovics will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Ofner will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fucsovics will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marton Fucsovics
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Rinky Hijikata - Marton Fucsovics	3:0 ✺
28.08.23	Marton Fucsovics - Sebastian Korda	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.23	Marton Fucsovics - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
21.08.23	Marton Fucsovics - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Marton Fucsovics - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWL
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
22.09.23	Constant Lestienne - Sebastian Ofner	Ofner S. retired ✺
21.09.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Luca Nardi - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
16.09.23	Sebastian Ofner - Nuno Borges	Canceled ✺
15.09.23	Sebastian Ofner - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?WW?L

Marton Fucsovics - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide