Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport 5
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Sebastian Ofner		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.91	Watch
	1.88	1.89	Watch
	1.88	1.99
	1.79	1.96	Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.88	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 (1.87)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
50.8%

Nuno Borges
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	0%	14.6%

Sebastian Ofner - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Ofner will win (41 of 48 users predict this - 85.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.44% – 95.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Ofner will win (25 of 25 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ofner is ranked ATP: 128. Borges is ranked ATP: 41.

Ofner is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Borges has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Borges may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ofner won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Nuno Borges - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Geneva
19.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Leo Borg - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Geneva
18.05.25	Nuno Borges - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Nuno Borges - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Marton Fucsovics - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Nuno Borges - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group I
16.09.23	Sebastian Ofner - Nuno Borges	Canceled
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Sebastian Ofner - Nuno Borges	3:1

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