Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday


	Marvin Moeller		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2	1.79
	2.03	1.68	Watch
			Watch
	2.06	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.84)	1.69 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
45.3%

Jozef Kovalik
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marvin Moeller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Marvin Moeller - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moeller will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Kovalik will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Kovalik (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kovalik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 428. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 577.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Moeller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Marvin Moeller - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Jozef Kovalik - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Marvin Moeller - Kacper Knitter	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Marvin Moeller - Daniel Siniakov	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Marvin Moeller - Alec Deckers	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Marvin Moeller - Marc Majdandzic	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Oscar Otte - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Bartosz Surudo - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Jan Choinski - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Dennis Novak - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Jan Jermar - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Franco Roncadelli - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWL

Marvin Moeller - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide