Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tulln - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Dennis Novak		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	1.98	1.81
	2.46	1.51	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	1.99	1.75	Watch
	2.25	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.25)	1.65 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
43.4%

Jozef Kovalik
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dennis Novak - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Novak will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dennis Novak will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Novak is ranked ATP: 417. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 577.

Novak is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kovalik has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Novak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kovalik could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Novak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Dennis Novak - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.25	Mirza Basic - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dennis Novak - Filip Jeff Planinsek	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Dennis Novak - Aljaz Jeran	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Dennis Novak - Luka Vuglar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Jan Jermar - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Franco Roncadelli - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Jozef Kovalik - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Kalin Ivanovski - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Alex Barrena - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Antwerp
17.10.21	Jozef Kovalik - Dennis Novak	0:2

Dennis Novak - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide