Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: AUGSBURG (GERMANY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 August 2023, Tuesday


	Marvin Moeller		Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.8	1.95
	1.8	2.05
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.06	Watch
	1.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.12)	2.03 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
53.9%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marvin Moeller's performance.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marvin Moeller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Marvin Moeller - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Moeller will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Sanchez Izquierdo will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moeller: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moeller in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Sanchez Izquierdo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sanchez Izquierdo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Moeller to win the game is with odds 1.86.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
20.08.23	Valentin Vacherot - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Karl Friberg - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
18.08.23	Marvin Moeller - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
17.08.23	Marvin Moeller - Andrea Gola	2:0 ✺
15.08.23	Marvin Moeller - Adam Heinonen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
ATP Challenger
08.08.23	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
02.08.23	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
01.08.23	Carlos Taberner - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	1:2 ✺
20.07.23	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
18.07.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW

Marvin Moeller - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide