Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday


	Masamichi Imamura		Antoine Ghibaudo

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.35	1.53
	2.54	1.56
	2.34	1.53
	2.45	1.54
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.35	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.34)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Masamichi Imamura
39.2%

Antoine Ghibaudo
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Masamichi Imamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Antoine Ghibaudo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Masamichi Imamura than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Masamichi Imamura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Antoine Ghibaudo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Masamichi Imamura - Antoine Ghibaudo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Imamura will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Ghibaudo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Imamura is ranked ATP: 415. Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 351.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Imamura may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ghibaudo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Masamichi Imamura
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Roger Pascual Ferra - Masamichi Imamura	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Masamichi Imamura - Darian King	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Masamichi Imamura - James Tracy	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Masamichi Imamura - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Masamichi Imamura - Evan Zhu	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWL?
- Antoine Ghibaudo
ATP Challenger
08.08.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Max Basing	Basing M. Retired ✺
05.08.26	Akira Santillan - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Tuncay Duran - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 L?WWL

Masamichi Imamura - Antoine Ghibaudo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide