Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday


	Antoine Ghibaudo		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	2.40	1.50
	2.5	1.47
	2.71	1.51
	2.48	1.49
	2.7	1.47
	2.56	1.45	Watch
	2.45	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.19)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antoine Ghibaudo
36.9%

Ilia Simakin
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoine Ghibaudo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antoine Ghibaudo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Antoine Ghibaudo - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ghibaudo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Simakin will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 351. Simakin is ranked ATP: 297.

Ghibaudo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Simakin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Simakin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Simakin will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Ilia Simakin - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.05%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antoine Ghibaudo
ATP Challenger
07.08.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Max Basing	Basing M. Retired ✺
05.08.26	Akira Santillan - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Tuncay Duran - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Dan Added - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?WWLL
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
07.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Ilia Simakin - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLW

Antoine Ghibaudo - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide