Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Masamichi Imamura		Moerani Bouzige

	1	2
	1.56	2.49
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.6	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.82)	2.34 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Masamichi Imamura
60%

Moerani Bouzige
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Masamichi Imamura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Masamichi Imamura's performance.

Moerani Bouzige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moerani Bouzige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Masamichi Imamura than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Masamichi Imamura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moerani Bouzige than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moerani Bouzige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Masamichi Imamura - Moerani Bouzige Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Imamura is ranked ATP: 466. Bouzige is ranked ATP: 425.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bouzige may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Imamura might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Masamichi Imamura - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.54%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Moerani Bouzige - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.46%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Masamichi Imamura
ATP Challenger
12.04.26	Masamichi Imamura - Shunsuke Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Masamichi Imamura - Zhou Mingzhou	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Justin Boulais - Masamichi Imamura	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Masamichi Imamura	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Fajing Sun - Masamichi Imamura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- Moerani Bouzige
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Moerani Bouzige	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.04.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Chase Ferguson - Moerani Bouzige	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Hyu Kawanishi - Moerani Bouzige	Kawanishi H. Retired ✺
01.04.26	Taiyo Yamanaka - Moerani Bouzige	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLW?W

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