Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Sergey Fomin		Moerani Bouzige

	1	2
	1.57	2.46
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.7)	2.35 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergey Fomin
60.2%

Moerani Bouzige
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergey Fomin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergey Fomin's performance.

Moerani Bouzige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moerani Bouzige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sergey Fomin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moerani Bouzige than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moerani Bouzige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sergey Fomin - Moerani Bouzige Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fomin is ranked ATP: 383. Bouzige is ranked ATP: 425.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bouzige may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fomin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergey Fomin
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Sergey Fomin	Canceled ✺
09.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Moerani Bouzige	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.04.26	Kuan-Yi Lee - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 W?LWL
- Moerani Bouzige
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Masamichi Imamura - Moerani Bouzige	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Moerani Bouzige	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.04.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Chase Ferguson - Moerani Bouzige	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Hyu Kawanishi - Moerani Bouzige	Kawanishi H. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Moerani Bouzige	2:1

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