Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday


	Matej Dodig		Franco Agamenone

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.81	1.98
	1.8	1.95	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.99	Watch
	1.73	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.88)	1.98 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
52.9%

Franco Agamenone
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Franco Agamenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matej Dodig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Agamenone than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Franco Agamenone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matej Dodig - Franco Agamenone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 342. Agamenone is ranked ATP: 437.

Dodig is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Agamenone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dodig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Franco Agamenone - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.54%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Matej Dodig - Andrej Nedic	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Matej Dodig - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Daniel Rincon - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Matej Dodig - Tadeas Paroulek	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Matej Dodig - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL
- Franco Agamenone
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Franco Agamenone - Ryan Seggerman	2:1 ✺
12.05.25	Alex Marti Pujolras - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Oleksii Krutykh - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Franco Agamenone - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Denis Yevseyev - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW

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