Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday


	Matej Dodig		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.73	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.69	Watch
	2.08	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.66)	1.71 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
45.3%

Federico Arnaboldi
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matej Dodig's form might have worsened.

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Arnaboldi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matej Dodig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Matej Dodig - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Arnaboldi will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaboldi: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaboldi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 320. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 213.

Two players are playing changeable.

Arnaboldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dodig won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Matej Dodig - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Matej Dodig - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Hynek Barton - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Pierluigi Basile - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLW
- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
28.03.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Tristan Boyer - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
18.03.25	Luka Mikrut - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexander Blockx	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.08.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Matej Dodig	2:0
ITF Tournaments
15.03.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Matej Dodig	0:2
19.03.23	Matej Dodig - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0

Upcoming Matches