Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday


	Matej Dodig		Liam Broady

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	2.06	1.81
	2.02	1.70	Watch
			Watch
	1.89	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.02)	1.8 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
48.2%

Liam Broady
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Liam Broady has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matej Dodig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liam Broady could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Matej Dodig - Liam Broady Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Broady will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dodig: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Dodig (votes: 3 - 50%). Broady (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 242. Broady is ranked ATP: 391.

Dodig is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Broady is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Broady will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dodig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Matej Dodig - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Dan Added - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Jakub Paul - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Matej Dodig - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWL
- Liam Broady
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Liam Broady - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Liam Broady - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Robin Bertrand - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Liam Broady - Henri Squire	Squire H. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Hamish Stewart - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWW?L

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