Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Matej Dodig		Arthur Fery

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.85	1.38	Watch
	3.05	1.39
	2.49	1.46	Watch
	2.81	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.49)	1.4 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
33.4%

Arthur Fery
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Matej Dodig - Arthur Fery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 242. Fery is ranked ATP: 204.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Dodig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fery will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Fery will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.96%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Dan Added - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Jakub Paul - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Matej Dodig - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Dusan Lajovic - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLW
- Arthur Fery
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Luka Pavlovic - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Arthur Fery - Robin Bertrand	Canceled ✺
24.10.25	Arthur Fery - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Arthur Fery - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Colton Smith - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 W?LWW

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