Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.7	2.19
	1.77	1.92	Watch
			Watch
	1.71	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.77)	2.05 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
54.7%

Matej Dodig
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Tristan Schoolkate - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Dodig will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dodig: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matej Dodig will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 97. Dodig is ranked ATP: 242.

Recent performances by Schoolkate have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dodig is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Schoolkate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Metz
01.11.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Dan Added	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Otto Virtanen - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Colton Smith - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
19.10.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Lukas Klein - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Dan Added - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Jakub Paul - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Matej Dodig - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Dusan Lajovic - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Matej Dodig - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWW

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