Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Matej Dodig		Zdenek Kolar

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.46	1.50	Watch
			Watch
	2.4	1.53	Watch
	2.41	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.64)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
38.9%

Zdenek Kolar
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Zdenek Kolar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matej Dodig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zdenek Kolar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Matej Dodig - Zdenek Kolar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Kolar (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Zdenek Kolar will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zdenek Kolar will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Dodig (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Kolar (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 261. Kolar is ranked ATP: 270.

Dodig has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kolar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kolar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kolar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Kolar will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Matej Dodig - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Canceled ✺
02.09.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Tiago Pereira - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Matej Dodig - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?LLWL
- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Zdenek Kolar - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Zdenek Kolar - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Luka Mikrut - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Giovanni Fonio - Zdenek Kolar	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Stefan Popovic - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

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