Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Tiago Pereira		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.58	1.52
	2.53	1.50	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.48	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.09)	1.51 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
38%

Matej Dodig
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiago Pereira's form might have worsened.

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matej Dodig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tiago Pereira - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dodig (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 283. Dodig is ranked ATP: 268.

Pereira is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dodig has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pereira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.58%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
18.08.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Tiago Pereira - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	1:2 ✺
04.08.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Tiago Pereira - Antoine Escoffier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWL
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
22.08.25	Matej Dodig - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Andrej Nedic - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Alexander Donski - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Matej Dodig - Facundo Juarez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
31.05.25	Tiago Pereira - Matej Dodig	2:0
ATP Challenger
29.09.24	Matej Dodig - Tiago Pereira	2:1

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