Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Augsburg (Germany), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 May 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Schnabel K. (Ger)


	Mateus Alves		Andrea Collarini

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.4	1.52
	2.84	1.4	Watch
	2.4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.35)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
35.5%

Andrea Collarini
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Andrea Collarini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Mateus Alves - Andrea Collarini Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Collarini will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collarini: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alves is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Collarini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Collarini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Collarini will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
20.05.24	Mateus Alves - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
19.05.24	Mateus Alves - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
02.05.24	Mateus Alves - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	Alves M. retired ✺
30.04.24	Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Mateus Alves - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Meligeni Alves F. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LW?W?
- Andrea Collarini
ITF Tournaments
11.05.24	Martin Klizan - Andrea Collarini	2:1 ✺
10.05.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
08.05.24	Elliot Benchetrit - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
04.05.24	Miguel Damas - Andrea Collarini	Damas M. retired ✺
03.05.24	Andrea Collarini - Eric Vanshelboim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWW?W

Mateus Alves - Andrea Collarini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide