The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Camilo Ugo Carabelli 45.1%
Mariano Navone 54.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
49.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mariano Navone Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Navone will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 56% – 94%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mariano Navone will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 47.Navone is ranked ATP: 73.
Ugo Carabelli has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Navone has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Ugo Carabelli will win today's game, with odds of 2.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.
Mariano Navone - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.