Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Itajai 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday


	Mateus Alves		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.21	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.25)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
41.6%

Gonzalo Bueno
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Mateus Alves - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bueno (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alves is ranked ATP: 461. Bueno is ranked ATP: 215.

Recent performances by Alves have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bueno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bueno is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Mateus Alves - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
19.01.26	Mateus Alves - Lucio Ratti	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mateus Alves - Carlos Eduardo Lino	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Mateus Alves - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Mateus Alves - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Federico Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Carlos Taberner - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Mateus Alves	2:1
22.10.24	Mateus Alves - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0

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