Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday


	Gonzalo Bueno		Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.32	3.05
	1.68	2.08	Watch
			Watch
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.34	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)	2.94 ↑ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Bueno
67.7%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Gonzalo Bueno - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Predictions

Users Predictions: Gonzalo Bueno will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gonzalo Bueno will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bueno is ranked ATP: 209. Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 460.

Bueno has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ambrogi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ambrogi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bueno could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bueno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Federico Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Carlos Taberner - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWW
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Tristan McCormick - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Juan Estevez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Tomas Martinez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Felipe Dreer - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Ian Vertberger - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.09.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1

Gonzalo Bueno - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide