Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Franco Roncadelli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.46	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.73
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.4)	2.57 ↓ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
63.5%

Franco Roncadelli
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Franco Roncadelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Franco Roncadelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 410. Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 274.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Roncadelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pucinelli De Almeida could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.02%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Franco Roncadelli - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.98%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
08.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Rafael Tosetto	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.05.26	Lucio Ratti - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL
- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
08.05.26	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Santiago De La Fuente - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Franco Roncadelli - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Michael Mmoh - Franco Roncadelli	Mmoh M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWL?

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