Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cali, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cali 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Alvaro Guillen Meza		Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2.13
	1.68	2.08	Watch
	1.69	2.11	Watch
	1.71	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.77)	2.06 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Guillen Meza
54.7%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
45.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guillen Meza will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 205. Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 277.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Guillen Meza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guillen Meza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Hugo Dellien - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Alex Barrena - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Emilio Nava - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.09.25	Igor Gimenez - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1
11.05.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0
29.04.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2
25.03.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2
11.06.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida