Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ORTISEI (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Mathias Bourgue		Joao Sousa

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2	1.75	Watch
	2.08	1.77
	2.08	1.78
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.71	Watch
	2.02	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.68)	1.74 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
46%

Joao Sousa
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathias Bourgue's form might have worsened.

Joao Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Sousa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathias Bourgue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Sousa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mathias Bourgue - Joao Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bourgue will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Sousa will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bourgue: 19% – 81%.

#ad

Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Sousa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
19.10.23	Francesco Forti - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Mathias Bourgue - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
16.10.23	Mathias Bourgue - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Mathias Bourgue - Luigi Castelletti	2:0 ✺
04.10.23	Hugo Gaston - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL
- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Joao Sousa - Martin Damm	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Joao Sousa - Mukund Sasikumar	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
05.10.23	Joao Sousa - Pedro Sousa	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Joao Sousa - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

Mathias Bourgue - Joao Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide