Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Mangione A. (Ita)


	Mathias Bourgue		Giovanni Fonio

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.62	1.51
	2.62	1.51
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	4.97	1.12	Watch
	5.2	1.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.04)	1.43 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
31.8%

Giovanni Fonio
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathias Bourgue's form might have worsened.

Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Fonio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathias Bourgue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Fonio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mathias Bourgue - Giovanni Fonio Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bourgue will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Fonio will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonio: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Bourgue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Mathias Bourgue - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Quentin Halys - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Calvin Hemery - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
10.06.24	Mathias Bourgue - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Mathias Bourgue - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW
- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
17.06.24	Giovanni Fonio - Toby Alex Kodat	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Giovanni Fonio - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
10.06.24	Giovanni Fonio - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Giovanni Fonio - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWW

Mathias Bourgue - Giovanni Fonio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide