Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Grodzisk Mazowiecki, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday


	Mathys Erhard		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.55	1.49
	2.40	1.63
	2.24	1.58
	2.35	1.61	Watch
	2.30	1.55	Watch
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.21)	1.57 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
40.3%

Joel Schwaerzler
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mathys Erhard - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Erhard is ranked ATP: 359. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 182.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Schwaerzler will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erhard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mathys Erhard - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.61%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
07.08.26	Mathys Erhard - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Damir Dzumhur - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Mathys Erhard - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.07.26	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Andrej Martin - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLW
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
07.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Jiri Cizek	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Mathys Erhard - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2

Mathys Erhard - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide