Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANDRIA (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday


	Mathys Erhard		Andrew Paulson

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.85	1.41
	2.7	1.46
	2.83	1.43
	2.62	1.44
	2.69	1.42	Watch
	2.65	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.1)	1.43 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
34.7%

Andrew Paulson
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathys Erhard's form might have worsened.

Andrew Paulson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrew Paulson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrew Paulson than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrew Paulson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mathys Erhard - Andrew Paulson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Erhard in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Paulson is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paulson will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
21.11.22	Mathys Erhard - David Poljak	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Mathys Erhard - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.11.22	Mathys Erhard - Bu Yunchaokete	Erhard M. retired ✺
02.11.22	Mathys Erhard - Vito DellElba	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Gauthier Onclin - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WW?WW
- Andrew Paulson
ATP Challenger
21.11.22	Fabrizio Andaloro - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Luca Fantini - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
07.11.22	Andrew Paulson - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
25.10.22	Tomas Machac - Andrew Paulson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Mathys Erhard - Andrew Paulson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide