Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PRAGUE 3 (CZECH REPUBLIC), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 August 2023, Tuesday


	Mathys Erhard		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.55	1.5
	2.47	1.57
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.54	1.47	Watch
	2.46	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.15)	1.51 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
37.9%

Francesco Maestrelli
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathys Erhard's form might have worsened.

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Maestrelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Mathys Erhard - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Users Predictions: Francesco Maestrelli will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Erhard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Maestrelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
16.08.23	Gabriel Debru - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
15.08.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
14.08.23	Mathys Erhard - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Mathys Erhard - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.08.23	Mathys Erhard - Giovanni Oradini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
18.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
17.08.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Gabriel Debru	2:0 ✺
16.08.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Nino Serdarusic	2:1 ✺
14.08.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Giorgio Tabacco	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL

Mathys Erhard - Francesco Maestrelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide