Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pau (France) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Maxime Janvier		Lukas Pokorny

	1	2
	1.71	2.08
			Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.1)	2 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Janvier
53.2%

Lukas Pokorny
46.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Janvier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maxime Janvier's performance.

Lukas Pokorny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukas Pokorny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Janvier than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maxime Janvier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Pokorny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Maxime Janvier - Lukas Pokorny Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Janvier will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Pokorny will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Janvier is ranked ATP: 291. Pokorny is ranked ATP: 439.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Janvier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Janvier
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Maxime Janvier - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Christian Langmo - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Maxime Janvier - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
27.01.25	Govind Nanda - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
04.01.25	Maxime Janvier - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL
- Lukas Pokorny
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Louis Dussin - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Lukas Pokorny - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Lukas Pokorny - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Jan Choinski - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
03.02.25	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Lukas Pokorny	Vincent Ruggeri S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLW?

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Janvier
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Maxime Janvier - Adhithya Ganesan	✺

Maxime Janvier - Lukas Pokorny