Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday


	Maxime Janvier		Lukas Pokorny

	1	2
	1.71	2.08
			Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.1)	2 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Janvier
53.2%

Lukas Pokorny
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Janvier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maxime Janvier's performance.

Lukas Pokorny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukas Pokorny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Janvier than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maxime Janvier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Pokorny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Maxime Janvier - Lukas Pokorny Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Janvier will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Pokorny will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Janvier is ranked ATP: 291. Pokorny is ranked ATP: 439.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Janvier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxime Janvier - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.3%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Janvier
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Maxime Janvier - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Christian Langmo - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Maxime Janvier - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
27.01.25	Govind Nanda - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
04.01.25	Maxime Janvier - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL
- Lukas Pokorny
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Louis Dussin - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Lukas Pokorny - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Lukas Pokorny - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Jan Choinski - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
03.02.25	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Lukas Pokorny	Vincent Ruggeri S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLW?

Maxime Janvier - Lukas Pokorny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide