Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday


	Mathys Erhard		Pietro Orlando Fellin

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.60	2.21	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.56	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.84)	2.19 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
57.8%

Pietro Orlando Fellin
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathys Erhard's performance.

Pietro Orlando Fellin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pietro Orlando Fellin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathys Erhard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pietro Orlando Fellin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Mathys Erhard - Pietro Orlando Fellin Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Erhard will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Fellin will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fellin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Erhard is ranked ATP: 316. Fellin is ranked ATP: 493.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Erhard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mathys Erhard - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Mathys Erhard - Matthew Summers	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.11.25	Mathys Erhard - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Mathys Erhard - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Mathys Erhard - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLW
- Pietro Orlando Fellin
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Rudolf Molleker - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.11.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Filippo Romano - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Lorenzo Bocchi - Pietro Orlando Fellin	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Giacomo Crisostomo - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWW

Mathys Erhard - Pietro Orlando Fellin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide