Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KOBE (JAPAN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Mathys Erhard		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.2	1.58
	2.23	1.6
	2.23	1.61
	2.2	1.62
	2.41	1.52	Watch
	2.25	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.86)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
41.2%

Rio Noguchi
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathys Erhard's form might have worsened.

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Noguchi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mathys Erhard - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Erhard will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Noguchi will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

Erhard is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Noguchi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Noguchi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ITF Tournaments
27.10.23	Mathys Erhard - Guido Ivan Justo	Justo G. I. walkover ✺
26.10.23	Mathys Erhard - Filippo Mazzola	2:1 ✺
25.10.23	Mathys Erhard - Max Wiskandt	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Felix Gill - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Ryan Nijboer - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 ?WWLW
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
05.11.23	Blake Ellis - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Kazuki Nishiwaki - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
02.11.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
01.11.23	Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
30.10.23	Rio Noguchi - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWW

Mathys Erhard - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide