Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SYDNEY (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday


	Rio Noguchi		Seong Chan Hong

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.5	1.48
	2.62	1.51
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.61	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.03)	1.47 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
36.4%

Seong Chan Hong
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Noguchi's performance.

Seong Chan Hong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seong Chan Hong might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Noguchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seong Chan Hong than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seong Chan Hong could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Noguchi - Seong Chan Hong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Noguchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hong will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Noguchi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
25.10.23	Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Arthur Weber - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
15.10.23	Taro Daniel - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
13.10.23	Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.23	Rio Noguchi - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWL
- Seong Chan Hong
ATP Challenger
26.10.23	Seong Chan Hong - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Seong Chan Hong - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
23.10.23	Seong Chan Hong - Jayden Court	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.23	Seong Chan Hong - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
02.10.23	Seong Chan Hong - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.04.23	Seong Chan Hong - Rio Noguchi	2:0
ITF Tournaments
05.06.22	Rio Noguchi - Seong Chan Hong	0:2
ATP Challenger
28.04.19	Rio Noguchi - Seong Chan Hong	2:1

Rio Noguchi - Seong Chan Hong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide