Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday


	Matias Soto		Franco Roncadelli

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.66
	1.52	2.48	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.57)	2.68 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
64.9%

Franco Roncadelli
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matias Soto's performance.

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Franco Roncadelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matias Soto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Franco Roncadelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Matias Soto - Franco Roncadelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Roncadelli will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Soto (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Soto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 242. Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 367.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Roncadelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Soto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Matias Soto - Pedro Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Mateus Alves - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Garrett Johns - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
10.04.25	Matias Soto - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Matias Soto - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLW
- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Enzo Kohlmann - Franco Roncadelli	Kohlmann E. retired ✺
29.04.25	Franco Roncadelli - Alex Barrena	Canceled ✺
24.04.25	Franco Roncadelli - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Zanellato	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.04.25	Franco Roncadelli - Valerio Aboian	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ??LWL

Matias Soto - Franco Roncadelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide