Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Barboza P. (Arg)


	Matias Soto		Hernan Casanova

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2	1.75
	1.98	1.86
	2.22	1.69
	1.83	1.83
	1.9	1.84	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.09)	1.81 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
48.1%

Hernan Casanova
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Hernan Casanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matias Soto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hernan Casanova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88%	0%	12%

Matias Soto - Hernan Casanova Predictions

Users Predictions: Matias Soto will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soto is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casanova is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Soto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Casanova to win the game is with odds 1.89.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
14.04.24	Matias Soto - Ryan Seggerman	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Matias Soto - Alafia Ayeni	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Matias Soto - Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Matias Soto - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	Nicolas Mejia - Matias Soto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
21.04.24	Andrea Collarini - Hernan Casanova	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Hernan Casanova - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
19.04.24	Hernan Casanova - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Hernan Casanova - Felix Corwin	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Hernan Casanova - Igor Gimenez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW

Matias Soto - Hernan Casanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide