Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Matias Soto		Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.59	1.59
	2.31	1.54	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.29	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.09)	1.55 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
39.4%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matias Soto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Matias Soto - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Prado Angelo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 304. Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 197.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Prado Angelo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Prado Angelo will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Soto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Matias Soto - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Matias Soto - Gonzalo Bueno	Bueno G. Retired ✺
15.04.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Mariano Kestelboim - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Matias Soto - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Jay Clarke - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 ?WWLW
- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Juan Bautista Torres - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Ryan Dickerson - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Gustavo Heide - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Matias Soto	2:0
20.11.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Matias Soto	0:2

Upcoming Matches