Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Billy Harris		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.76	2.12
	1.78	1.97	Watch
	1.75	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.72)	2.01 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billy Harris
53.4%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billy Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billy Harris than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Billy Harris - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Billy Harris will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Billy Harris will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Harris is ranked ATP: 136. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 86.

Harris is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Cerundolo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cerundolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Harris will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Harris won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Billy Harris - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.26%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billy Harris
ATP Challenger
12.09.25	Billy Harris - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Billy Harris - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Billy Harris - Denis Yevseyev	Yevseyev D. retired ✺
07.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Billy Harris - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WW?WW
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
12.09.25	Daniel Evans - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Evans D. retired ✺
10.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Bar Biryukov P. retired ✺
08.09.25	Yuta Shimizu - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ??WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
20.08.24	Billy Harris - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1

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