Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 July 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Marco Trungelliti		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.35	3.28
			Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.36	2.99	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.52)	2.86 ↑ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
67.3%

Matteo Martineau
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marco Trungelliti's performance.

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Martineau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Marco Trungelliti - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Martineau will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Martineau (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Martineau (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Martineau (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 149. Martineau is ranked ATP: 292.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Trungelliti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trungelliti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trungelliti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Martineau - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Marco Trungelliti - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
30.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Pedro Boscardin Dias	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Jaime Faria - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 W?LWL
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Matteo Martineau - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.06.25	Matteo Martineau - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Matteo Martineau - Clement Lemire	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Matteo Martineau - Tristan Berard	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Matteo Martineau - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.09.21	Marco Trungelliti - Matteo Martineau	2:1

Marco Trungelliti - Matteo Martineau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide