Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Nicolas Mejia		Marek Gengel

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.42	2.94
	1.42	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.42	2.73	Watch
	1.62	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.62)	2.64 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
64.5%

Marek Gengel
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Mejia's performance.

Marek Gengel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marek Gengel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Mejia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marek Gengel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nicolas Mejia - Marek Gengel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mejia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 246. Gengel is ranked ATP: 251.

Mejia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gengel has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gengel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Ilya Ivashka - Nicolas Mejia	Ivashka I. retired ✺
14.08.25	Nicolas Mejia - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Nicolas Mejia - Joshua Sheehy	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Nicolas Mejia - Adhithya Ganesan	Ganesan A. retired ✺
30.07.25	Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 ?LW?L
- Marek Gengel
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Marek Gengel - Benjamin Hassan	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Stuart Parker - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Ioannis Xilas - Marek Gengel	Gengel M. retired ✺
ATP Washington
19.07.25	Billy Harris - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLL?L

Nicolas Mejia - Marek Gengel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide