Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Champaign, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Mats Rosenkranz		Pablo Martinez Gomez

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.26	3.5
	1.29	3.6
	1.34	3.03	Watch
			Watch
	1.25	3.57	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.84)	3.16 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mats Rosenkranz
69.6%

Pablo Martinez Gomez
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mats Rosenkranz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mats Rosenkranz's performance.

Pablo Martinez Gomez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pablo Martinez Gomez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mats Rosenkranz than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mats Rosenkranz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Martinez Gomez than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Martinez Gomez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mats Rosenkranz - Pablo Martinez Gomez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rosenkranz is ranked ATP: 259. Martinez Gomez is ranked ATP: 713.

Rosenkranz is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Martinez Gomez has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Martinez Gomez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Mats Rosenkranz - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mats Rosenkranz
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Inaki Montes De La Torre	Rosenkranz M. retired ✺
01.11.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Oliver Tarvet	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Andres Martin - Mats Rosenkranz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 ?LWWW
- Pablo Martinez Gomez
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Pablo Martinez Gomez - Noah Zamora	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Pablo Martinez Gomez - Mathis Debru	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Alejandro Moreno - Pablo Martinez Gomez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Pablo Martinez Gomez - Jack Satterfield	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Pablo Martinez Gomez - Christopher Li	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW

Mats Rosenkranz - Pablo Martinez Gomez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide